Analyzing the Bedol & Santos PCoCs

Let us now make a tally and analyze the two provincial certificates of canvass (the Bedol PCoC and the Santos PCoC).

By tallying, we get a clearer picture.

We also get to see the anomalies.

Incredible results can bee seen.

For instance, in the Bedol PCoC the percentage of actual voters who voted for Zubiri is a stratospheric high of 98.39 %!

In other words if there were one hundred voters who voted, ninety-eight voted for Zubiri.

In the canvassed Santos PCoC, the percentage of actual voters who voted for Zubiri is even higher: 98.45%!

These percentages are even higher than Zubiri's own voting percentage in his home province of Bukidnon.

Can you explain that?

Zubiri is more loved in Maguindanao, than in Bukidnon? Come on.

And not only that. look at the fill up rate: an average high of 11.74 (Bedol PCoC) and 11.36 (Santos PCoC).

When you say average "fill-up rate", this means a voter filled up an AVERAGE of 11 names for senators.

Possible or impossible?

The probable fill-up rate among average voters in the country is no more than six names.

With the Bedol and Santos PCoCs, we are made to believe that the voters who voted in Maguindanao filled-up eleven of the twelve names for senators.

Believable?

Not only that.

When Abalos set aside the Bedol PCoC, it was for the reason that the results were statistically improbable considering nineteen candidates got zero votes.

But Abalos canvassed the Santos PCoC when it still yielded eighteen candidates getting zero votes.

In the Santos PCoC, Trillanes got 2,400 votes.

Why accept the Santos PCoC as regular when it still yielded eighteen candidates getting zero votes?

With eighteen candidates still getting zero votes, it is no longer statistically improbable?

Si Abalos talaga.

But wait till you see the Pangalungan results....

The Quadra Minutes

Looking at the two controversial PCoCs of Maguindanao will not prove fraud. At best, it proves differing votes obtained by senatorial canddiates like Koko Pimentel, and notably Antonio Trillanes.
While Trillanes had zero votes in the Beol PCoC, Trillanes garnered 2,147 votes in the Santos PCoC.
Let us not forget Chavit Singson who got 196,157 votes in the Bedol PCoC, but were reduced (like Koko's) in the Santos PCoC to 194,242 votes
Zubiri, meantime, had a constant score in both PCoCs: 195,823 votes.
There is another important piece of document that will provide key indicators of the fraud of Maguindanao.
I am referring the minutes of the sessions of the provincial board of canvassers headed by (PES) Lintang Bedol himself conducted on May 15, 2007 to May 17, 2007.
When Lintang Bedol submitted the PCoC for Maguindanao, Abalos and the national board of canvassoers noted a statistical improbability considering that nineteen candidates got zero votes.
The national board of canvassers required Bedol to produce the supporting election documents like the MCoCs.
But Bedol was unable to produce said documents, as he claimed these were not submitted to him after the canvassing by the PBOC on May 15 was done.
So the Commission on Elections required all proclaimed local officials of Maguindanao "to PRESENT EVIDENCE TO PROVE THAT ELECTIONS WERE HELD IN MAGUINDANAO and that they were duly elected and proclaimed."
This was contained in the en banc order dated June 6 2007.
True enough, Maguindanao Governor Andal S. Ampatuan through his lawyer Atty. Pete Quirino-Quadra submitted to the Comelec en banc a "Manifestation submitting the minutes of the proceedings of the provincial board of canvassers of Maguindanao."
Attached to the Manifesatation were the minutes itself of the proceedings of May 15, 2007.
Remember the purpose of submitting the minutes was to debunk the theory that no elections were held in Maguindanao.
Quadra submitted the minutes of the proceedings of the PBoC to prove that indeed elections were held and that local candidates were even proclaimed.
What is the significance and relation of the "Quadra minutes" to the fraud in Maguindanao?
If you look at the minutes submitted by Quadra, it contains the data on the total registered voters, as well as the total number of voters who actually voted PER MUNICIPALITY in Maguindanao.
Hence, the minutes of the proceedings is a faithful recording of what transpired during the canvassing by the provincial board of canvassers headed by Lintang Bedol.
The minutes bear the signatures of the board of canvassers themselves, headed by Lintang Bedol.
Thus, there is no basis to question the authenticity of the minutes, which recorded the proceedings of the Maguindanao canvassing.
As a matter of fact, because of the submission of the "Quadra minutes", the Abalos nat'l board of canvassers were convinced that elections were held, so there was no basis to declare a failure of elections in Maguindanao.
There is thus no question as to the recording ot the number of voters who actually voted per municipality.
Let us list the data (total number of votes cast) based on the minutes of the proceedings submitted by Atty. Quadra itself:
Mamasapano: 10,000; Talayan 6,505; Datu Anggal Midtimbang: 5,212;Guindulungan: 4,574; Datu Unsay: 10,150; Pandag: 3,342; Sultan Barongis: 7,755; Paglat: 4,313;Datu Paglas: 11,608; Pandag: 3,342; Pagagawan: none listed; Datu Piang: 17,933; Datu Abdullah Sangki: 7,939; Datu Saudi Ampatuan: 11,402; Pagalungan: 2,439 (incomplete); S.K. Pendatun: 10,664; Rasah Buayan: 6,672; Ampatuan: 9,958; Talitay: 3,357; Shariff Aguak: 26,701; Buluan: 9,649; Mangudadatu: 4,492; South Upi: 9,461.
Thus, as per recording of the minutes, you can already establish the number of votes cast.
Therefore, no one can change these figures or submit a data that is different from that recorded in the minutes.
Take note that the recording of the data was based on the source documents, which are the municipal certificates of canvass, backed by the summary of statement of votes, the statement of votes per precinct, which at that time (May 15 to May 17, 2007) were not "lost" yet.
The minutes are reliable documentary evidence in so far as the data of the total number of registered voters, and the total number of votes cast, are concerned.

Close look at the Bedol PCoC with Serial No. 0000095

Let us take a very close look at the Bedol-canvassed provincial certificate of canvass (PCoC) with Serial No. 0000095.

This is a very important piece of documentary evidence in our journey at unravelling the electoral joke that was Maguindano.

Immediately one would notice that our document is a photograph of the Bedol PCoC, and not a scanned document like the other (Santos board) PCoC.

There is a reason for that.

You cannot access this document from the Comelec.

When I evaluated the Maguindanao documents, I immediately asked Alex L., expert statistician, why our evidence of the Bedol PCoC is a photograph.

He replied, "because the Comelec will not give you a copy."

"Why not?" I asked.

"The reason given by Comelec is that this PCoC had already been set aside," Alex replied.

"But can't we have this copy nonetheless?", I persisted.

"Go try get a (certified) copy from the Election Records Department, tell me if you can get one," Alex retorted.

So I am challenging anyone, perhaps there might be someone who gets to read this who has some strong connections with Comelec.

Try going to Comelec and access this Maguindanao PCoC with serial no. 0000095.

Chances are, you wont get one.

This only photograph evidence we have of the Bedol PCoC was reportedly taken by a campaign staffer of Senator Lacson, who had so much common sense in his head.

The total score of Migz Zubiri here is 195,823 votes.

Chavit Singson is topnotcher with more than 196,157.

You can find at the bottom the signature of Lintang Bedol as chair of the provincial board of canvass, and the two other members.

What is so anomalous about this PCoC result, aside from Abalos correct findings of statistical improbability?

The votes of Zubiri----and of course Singson----are over and above the total number of voters who actually voted in Maguindanao.

This is not only improbable. This is impossible.

How can we ascertain the total number of voters who actually voted?

What is our proof that Zubiri and Singson garnered more votes that the number of Maguindanao voters who actually voted?

What is our documentary evidence?

I'll post it in my next blog.....

The tale of two certificates of convass

Let us begin the discussion of the Maguindanao electoral anomalies with the provincial certificates of canvass (PCoCs).
During the 2007 senatorial elections, Maguindanao was the only province that had two provincial certificates of canvass (PCoCs).
The provincial certificate of canvass is the final document or certificate that is executed by the provincial election officers, which would be the basis for canvassing (counting) by the national board of canvassers, which is composed of the commissioners of the Comelec.
So lets put some human faces. Lintang Bedol is the provincial election supervisor. He is called "PES Bedol."
Of course the head of the national board of canvassers is Benjamin Abalos, the chair of the Comelec.
While there is normally only one provinicial certificate of canvass, there are, of course other documents that are the basis for putting the figures in the PCoCs.
The supporting documents would of course be the certificates of canvass from the municipalities (MCoCs) of the province.
But these certificates of canvass---MCoCs and PCoC--- are backed by documents called Summary of Statement of Votes (SSOVs).
This is the primitivate nature of our paper-based elections.
So many documents. So vulnerable to fraud, tampering, intercalations, erasures, mis-additions, pre-fixing, suffixing, and yes, generally called dagdag-bawas.
In the case of Maguindanao it is very anomalous, and irregular to have two provincial certificates of canvass (PCoCs).
The first PCoC was that one submitted and tabulated by the Bedol-led provincial election supervisors.
When this was submitted to the Comelec in Manila for canvassing, it was noted that there were nineteen senatorial candidates who got zero votes, including the winning ones like Panfilo Lacson, Noynoy Aquino, and Allan Cayetano.
In this Bedol PCoC, the topnotcher was Chavit Singson.
Because this PCoC was touted to be statistically improbable, Comelec chair Abalos and the national board of canvassers set this aside.
The reasons given by Abalos himself was that, the candidates and their representatives were not allowed to view the canvassing.
Second, Abalos said documents supporting the canvass were not given to the parties and other groups entitled to copies.
And third, Abalos said "statistical improbability" (Refer to the TSN Page 3 of the June 4, 2007 session of the NBoC).
Initially, this could have paved the way for a declaration of a failure of election.
This was the original intention or direction of Abalos.
But suddenly, Governor Ampatuan through his counsel Atty. Pete Cuadra, went to the Comelec and submitted a manifestation that there cannot be a failure of elections in Maguindanao because there was an election and local candidates have even been proclaimed.
Along with Atty Cuadra's manifestation were the minutes of the canvassing of votes by the provinical canvassers led by Lintang Bedol himself.
These "minutes of the provinicial canvass" submitted by Atty. Cuadra becomes very crucial evidence of fraud because it listed down the actual number of voters per municipality who actually voted.
Because of this evidence submitted by Atty. Cuadra, Abalos made a complete 360-degree about face.
Abalos then said, there cannot be a declaration of failure of elections.
Subsequently, Lintang Bedol suddenly claimed the election documents were "lost."
This paved the way for Abalos to direct the Task Force Mindanao to conduct a "fact finding mission" in Maguindanao and retrieve "accountable documents" that can be salvaged and which may be used to determine the "true will" of the people of Maguindanao.
Therafter, as many now know, what surfaced were single, lonesome copies of municipal certificates of canvass that were supposedly used for posting for the public.
These lonesome municipal certificates of canvass became the basis for the re-canvassing of the votes, by the special board of canvassers led by Emilio A. Santos (Santos-board).
It was the Santos-board that submitted a second provincial certififcate of canvass.
This second certificate of canvass eventually became the basis for canvassing by the national board of canvassers in Manila.
In this second PCoC by the Santos-board, Miguel Zubiri now is the topnother.
The number of voteers who voted for the province was increased.
Antonio Trillanes, who had zero votes in the Bedol-PCoC, now had thousands of votes.
Please take note that at this time, the election returns from the town of Pagalungan (where Musa Dimasidsing was schools district supervisor) did not yet surface.
This is a general narration of the important events after the May 14, 2007 elections.
We shall provide the other documents to prove these allegations.
But for now, please take a look at the two provincial certifictes of cavass.
I don't want to overwhelm with so many documents. So let us content ourselves at this time with these unusual two PCoCs--so anomalous by themselves.
The first is the Bedol-board PCoC. Please take note of the serial number of this Bedol-canvassed PCoC: No. 0000095
The second is the Santos-board PCoC. Please also take note of the serial number of this Santos-canvassed PCoC: No. 0000122.

The Evidence

Many have written about massive cheating in the province of Maguindanao in the 2007 senatorial elections.
The major beneficiary of election fraud, is Juan Miguel "Magz" Zubiri, who has just been proclaimed by the Abalos Commission on Elections, truly composed of "commissioners."
Zubiri has just taken his oath as the 12th senator from the republic of Maguindanao.
My heart goes out to the people of Maguindanao province.
They have been unduly placed in the heat of electoral controversy.
The people of Maguindanao have done nothing wrong.
It is the few powerful hoodlums who have tainted this province of becoming the bedrock of election fraud.
Let us use this blog not to cry election fraud, but to produce and expose the evidence that establishes these allegations of fraud.
Let us do what the late Musa Dimasidsing wanted to do, had he lived to tell his story.